Actionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)[Not all of you have checked 'Notifications' on your account dashboards, so I am manually sending out this important update to all subscribers. RA] $GCZ24 – December Gold (Last:2621.60)Sunday, November 10, 5:15 pm EST 0Gold futures have taken a nasty hit since topping on October 30 within 1.60 of a well-advertised Hidden Pivot target of mine at 2803.40. Even so, the downdraft has yet to generate an impulse leg on the daily chart by exceeding two prior lows. That would occur with a print at 2618.70, but even then, its putative power could be diminished if the bounce from Thursday's low gets a little more loft. We'll give bulls the benefit of the doubt as the new week begins by assuming a 'mechanical' buy at the red line produces a big winner. The target would be 2940.10 (see inset), and the initial stop-loss would be at 2546.70. Please note that the trade has yet to trigger, since the selloff has gone no lower than 2650.30. Paper-trade this one only if your Hidden Pivot chops are up to snuff. _______ UPDATE (Nov 11, 12:08 p.m.): This morning's avalanche brought the futures down to the red line, so I'll suggest using a $17 trigger interval to get long. This is bigger than I would prefer, but it will diminish the chance of a false signal. With a so-far low of 2619.20, the 'buy' signal would occur on a 2636.20 print. Your first profit-taking objective would be at p=2653.20, where d=2687.20 (60-min, a=2650.30 on 11/6). This is a paper trade for all but the most intrepid Pivoteers. I am mainly interested in determining whether bullion has topped for the long term. The trade set-up I am suggesting is a
Rick Ackerman
Timely chat room posts
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)10:00 10:09 RickDIA headed for certain to at least 448.67 (daily, A=400.81 on 9/11). Pullback to x=424.50 can be bought 'mechanically,' stop 416.43, and D=448.67 can be shorted,10:21 RickTSLA is headed for a major top at 333.98, or alternatively at 336.48 (weekly, a=186.26 on 3/12/21). Use profits from 40-point rally remaining to cushion a short at the lower target.10:23 RickNFLX has stalled at p=787.14, tied to D=830.02. (60m, A=687.24 on 10/17).10:28 RickCVNA short recommended at 269.55 using camo rABC trigger and a stop-loss no wider than 15 cents (weekly, a=22.16 on 3/20/20).10:30 RickBitcoin's (Bertie's) next stop is D=84.634.44 (daily, A=38,520 on 1/23/24). The target is 95% likely to be achieved.10:34 RickMSFT, our #1 bellwether, is still grinding out am excruciatingly tedious head-and-shoulders that will shave a mere $50-$60 from the stock price when it finally cracks the neckline.10:36 RickES "should" top here, at around 5988.50, but not necessarily in a big way (15m, A=5866.25 on 11/6). If the waft continues, short this hoax at 6006.75.
An important note from the chat room concerning the supposedly no-brainer AAPL calendar spread
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)20:29 RickHow many of you did the AAPL call calendar spread: Buy Oct 4 202.50 calls/sell Sep 20 202.50 calls for a 1.30 debit? If so, I would suggest exiting it this morning, on a spread order, for 1.00, with 0.10 discretion. The spread closed at 1.00 today, and although it's still possible to make money on the position, even if the stock goes higher, I'd rather not subject you to early-assignment risk; or try to postpone it by rolling the short Sep 20 calls to Sep 27. It was a lousy position to begin with, inferior to simply buying the 202.50 put calendar spread for cheap, as Entisas and Baplg figured out. If you exit with a loss, please report it in the chat room so that I'll have a better idea how much interestt my option recommendations are attracting. Virus-free.www.avg.com
An option spread in AAPL that even beginners cam do
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)12:31 RickWith expectations of AAPL falling to 203.43 over the next 4-6 days (see my 11:30 post), here's an option spread that even beginners can do with very low risk: Bid 1.30 for the 4 Oct / 20 Sep 202.50 call spread, day order. This is a good opportunity to observe how these spreads work. I will advise if the stock drops below 202.50, since that would expose you to the exercise of the Sep calls you are short. Expert traders can attempt to leg into the spread for less, but this will be difficulty because the calls are deep in the money and don't trade in quantity. Virus-free.www.avg.com
Actionable alert
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)12:02 RickMNQU24, micro Nasdaq, can be shorted at 19,477, stop 19,501, good till 2:00 p.m. You'llbe on your own if this fills. Risk here is $2/point, or about $50/contract on entry. RAVirus-free.www.avg.com
I hope you followed my simple recommendation…
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)...to buy QQQ calls this morning for 0.44 that later went to 12.86, It was geared especially for beginners who have never made a profit on an option trade. The chart tells the story: The options precisely telegraphed QQQs ferocious bounce after the index got sold down hard in the first hour . I post informal trades like this one in the chat room from time to time and would estimate that 95% of them have been profitable. (Note to subscribers who frequent the chat room: Please do correct me if you think I've exaggerated even slightly.) I disseminate the trade recommendations simultaneously via email to paying subscribers who have checked the 'Notifications' box on their account dashboards. Eventually, I plan to divulge the secret behind this trick, as well as to a few other tricks designed to produce steady income with risk very tightly controlled. If I offer a course on this radical new approach to trading options, it will likely be on the same basis as the one on 'Advanced Tactics of the Hidden Pivot Method" given a couple of summers ago. That course was not marketed, but it was made available for a short time to subscribers who have been with me for a while. The course was geared to futures trading and featured some proprietary adaptations of the Hidden Pivot Method. I have not offered it since, although it is available on request to qualified subscribers for $1,400. Rick From the chat room, 9/11/24: 10:28 RickSame-day QQQ 456 calls, currently 1.22, look like they will break down and fall to 0.44. They can be 'mechanically' shorted at 2.26, stop 3.01. // UPDATE 10:41 a.m. Calls have fallen to a
An update from the chat room, with further guidance for micro-NQ short
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)Wednesday, August 28, 202414:0014:51 skibumRA: Got it, thanks14:53 Roxygrooveyea, this system is something pretty good. i.e. tsla 207.5 puts that turned precisely at 2.17 this morning and then rocketed away... and Rick showed me yesterday 24 hours ago, thats where it would happen. to the penny.15:0015:07 RickThis little pre-NVDA fright-mask frisson has stopped out the naked-short calls I'd suggested in QQQ, for a theoretical loss of $35 per contract. It has also negated the promising, 0.28 bid for them/15:26 MM18Sold MSFT Oct4 410 Put $10.4515:29 MM18Are the PM's miners and bullion in a Wall of Worry or just settling back a bit or more for a breakout to new highs? Can't pull the trigger!16:0016:17 k.u.k....if you want to see real coincidence, put up the 15 minute, 5 day charts of /MESU24 and NVDA side-by-side.16:22 JoeyJoltBought back the shares I sold 8/20 in GDXJ and SLV.I've been taking some off the table on rallies and buying on pullbacks. I'm staying long but adjusting my shares and futures contracts accordingly.16:22 JoeyJoltMM-The true risk is not being invested now in the PM sector. I understand the drawdowns are uncomfortable and you may not wish to take alot of risk. Cut down your size to a manageable level. At least you'll have some exposure and be able to sleep peacefully16:25 JoeyJoltRick-nice call on NVDA. [ {{ Thanks, JJ. No pivots, just a feeling. RA }} ]17:0017:50 MM18Thanks JJ. Today may have been the day to load up!Thursday, August 29, 202408:0008:08 mattbaOn to SIZ24 now? [{{ Yes. Thanks for the heads-up. RA }} ]09:0009:33 entisas24MM NVDA shares traded on the open. That's a lot of options getting assigned.09:48 RickAlthough the naked-short QQQ 479 calls that expire today got stopped out quickly yesterday, the second trade I recommended (see
Tradable notes from the chat room
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)Wednesday, September 11, 2024 08:0008:57 RickRussell 2000, a chimp fave, is losing its struggle to hold p=2105.10 of a pattern that projects down to d=1940.2008:59 RickDec Bonds can be bottom-fished at 125^27, stop 125^22. (60-min, a=125^23 on 8/21) Virus-free.www.avg.com
Interesting activity to greet the day
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)Friday, September 6, 2024 07:0007:50 RickES closing on 5429.38 target introduced last Sunday, then reaffirmed in the update. Price action at this midpoint Hidden Pivot support cannot but provide the 'tell' we need to determine the importance of Sep 3's secondary top and the possibility that my scenario #1 (i.e., August 1929 repeating itself) is playing out. For confirmation, we will want to factor in MSFT's expected bounce to 449.52 after it triggers a back-up-the-truck 'mechanical' buy at 401.54.08:0008:09 k.u.k.Morning, Rick. My 10 D, 30 min. chart indicates MSFT touched 400.57 and bounced with a tail on the candle. Currently: 406.37.08:10 k.u.k....at 6:00 AM EST.08:28 RickFancy that! Indeed, it did -- and thanks for the heads-up, Charles. I was barely stirring at the time, but anyone who was awake and used my target to get long should take 25%-50% off here at 407-408 and save the rest for a swing at the fences. An impulsive stop-loss can also be used.08:36 RickAlthough the Whoopee Cushion bounce has occurred from within two-tenths of a percent of 'x', I should repeat this for the umpteenth time: the green line is neither a target nor a Hidden Pivot nor a support, just a handy reference point for two types of trades we do: mechanical and conventional. It's only a stupid, annoying coincidence that these bounces from x seem to refute me by beginning 90% of the time within a hair of the green line. Virus-free.www.avg.com
I rickismed the time of the session….
– Posted in: NotificationsActionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.)It should have read 12:30, not 13:30. I am rescheduling for 12:45 Eastern – in six minutes. Here's the link again: 12:18 RickI'm going to open an impromptu session at 13:30 Eastern to briefly explain reverse patterns and camouflage. I will record the session and make it available to all subscribers.12:31 RickHere's a link to the session. I'll wait until a few people are in the room before I start.12:31 Rickhttps://bit.ly/45rbCkb https://bit.ly/45rbCkb Virus-free.www.avg.com