CLV24 – October Crude (Last:73.55)

With expectations of a rally into the low 80s at least, we should be prepared to bottom-fish this correction when it comes down to the green line (x=73.56). This is a ‘mechanical’ set-up, and it comes with the caveat that x is neither target, nor support, nor Hidden Pivot, just a place on charts where we set up ‘mechanical’ trades. This one looks like a very good bet, but it will require staging on the lesser charts, since the textbook stop-loss would otherwise be at 70.87, a tick beneath C. That’s too much to risk on a conventional entry, so stay tuned to the chat room for alternatives. _______ UPDATE (Aug 19, 9:34 p.m.): The futures rallied 45 cents after bottoming at 73.48, affording us a small winner of around $920 on four contracts (see my 14:58 post in the chat room for details). They have relapsed this evening and are now rallying in their wonted, psychotic fashion after making a marginal new low. Step away as crude carves out a tortuous bottom. _______ UPDATE (Aug 23): Crude doesn’t merit an update, since it’s trading exactly where it was six months ago. This is notwithstanding the flatulent rumble emanating from the charts since then. It has been paradoxically easy to trade, but you’ll have to nudge me proactively in the chat room for timely guidance. _______ UPDATE (Aug 31): Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.