ESM24 – June E-Mini S&Ps (Last:5321)

Although a swoon to the green line (x=5108) would set up an appealing opportunity to bottom-fish there ‘mechanically’, I now doubt that the implied bounce would reach D=5542. More likely is that it would fail at p=5253 or lower, creating a secondary top that would still be seductive enough to trap bulls and bears alike (the latter via a short squeeze).  There is another visually appealing possibility that rates equal mention: a feint next week to p2=5397, as suggested here earlier.  I will continue to monitor the lesser charts diligently for signs of one outcome or the other. If the swoon is coming soon, it will likely be signaled by the futures’ failure to achieve ‘D’ rally targets of minor degree, and to overshoot minor ‘d’ corrective targets.