Shoppers Slouch Towards Bethlehem

Reports of shopping-related violence over Thanksgiving weekend were so appalling that one might infer that Western civilization itself had slipped yet another notch, much as it did when Paris Hilton and Kim Kardashian became world famous for sharing their fellatio techniques online. On Friday, a female shopper hell-bent on snaring a video game at a ridiculous price pepper-sprayed other bargain-bin ghouls to frighten them away. There was also a robbery-shooting in a mall parking lot, as well as numerous other incidents that, taken together, suggest that the annual kickoff to the Christmas shopping season has become as violent and rapacious as an 1880s land-rush.

We wonder whether this aspect of our consumer culture would have evolved as it has if the news media had not been pitching the “Black Friday” story ad nauseum over the last ten or fifteen years. It was already a sad fact of our consumer culture that the question of whether we would have a “green” Christmas had become an obsessive concern of the news media.  Has the U.S. economy become so enfeebled and dysfunctional that it cannot survive without a Christmas-induced binge of credit card shopping?  The answer, apparently, is yes.  Meanwhile, the news media must bear much of the blame for whipping buyers into a frenzy. With the country slipping back into recession, newsroom hacks are doing everything they can to give advertisers a boost. But at what cost to our humanity?

Is That Really Us?

Still, it’s difficult to know for certain whether the strip-mall underclass that we read about in the newspapers is actually us.  If so, the hard times that lie just ahead are going to be even harder on us all now that the last shred of decency and politeness appear to be disappearing from public life.  Or are they?  Looking on the brighter side, we’re skeptical that the news media is capable of getting any story right, no matter what the subject, and perhaps they have gotten this one wrong as well.  Keep in mind that these are the same guys who have been feeding us the nonsense that Mitt Romney, whose candidacy excites almost no one, is the GOP “frontrunner.”  We can only hope that the nation-of-greedy-shoppers story is equally wrong and that America has not, in that way, begun slouching incorrigibly towards Bethlehem.

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  • Rich November 28, 2011, 9:23 pm

    LOL:
    Hey all except Mario, am I the only bull here again?
    (click on name to see)

  • C.C. November 28, 2011, 9:19 pm

    In the mid-late 1980’s – long about the time ‘consumer’ became the proxy for public retail consumption, I remember my Dad having an immediate disdainful reaction to being labeled a ‘consumer’. In my mind, the term always brought up an image of a Pacman – chewing and ‘consuming’ his way through everything, but leaving nothing in the wake of his consumption other than a void – or as is much the case in the Western world, a debt. Perhaps the term is fitting – for every consumption, there must be a ‘production’ on the other side of the transaction. The question then becomes obvious:

    Who does the producing, and who does the consuming? And what of the party that becomes saddled with all the debt of his consumption?

    As to where we’re ‘slouching’ towards is concerned, a few years back it was Gomorrah. Unfortunately for Mr. Bork and the railroading he received, we’re not slouching any longer, we’re sprinting – like the amped up corpses rounding the corner in that horror movie a few years back. These ain’t your 1960’s Night of the Living Dead zombies anymore…

  • Robert November 28, 2011, 8:25 pm

    “Black Friday” … even the name is ominous and does not portend of anything positive in relation to the holiday season.

    My wife noticed that this year that stores where also locked in a cyclical “who will open the earliest” contest this year…

    Whereas in years past black Friday usually got underway at 4:00-5:00 am on Friday, this year stores were opening on Thanksgiving night before the leftover turkey was even cold.

    I won’t cast dispersions upon the people who actually WANT to be out there camping in parking lots, etc; and who use the experience to hang out with like-minded friends, etc. Different strokes for different folks.

    But: The explosion in mobbery surrounding this event is disquieting, and to me it paints a picture of just how important it has become for some people to be able to provide their family with the best holiday experience, for the lowest cost, possible…

    I’m reading the stats that say this year’s Black Friday sales are exceeding 2010 by anywhere from 15 to 25%… anyone reading this as a positive is not flipping the coin and looking at the other side.

    Downward pricing pressures, and the need to minimize gross expenditures on holiday wares, might be what’s encouraging some folks to behave so irrationally.

    • Benjamin November 28, 2011, 9:53 pm

      ““Black Friday” … even the name is ominous and does not portend of anything positive in relation to the holiday season.”

      Yeah, it sounds like the beginning of a really, really bad weekend! The Sun doesn’t rise. The oceans turn to blood and start to boil. And one billion people die off from a sudden plague. Black Friday!

      Interestingly enough, though, the first use of the phrase refered to a financial crisis in the year 1869…

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Friday_(1869)

      Nowadays, for those who can see, it refers to a nation in a cultural-economic decline. For everyone else, it’s a cutesy tradition, the way things have “always been” (and always should be, they seem to think).

      “But: The explosion in mobbery surrounding this event is disquieting, and to me it paints a picture of just how important it has become for some people to be able to provide their family with the best holiday experience, for the lowest cost, possible…”

      Actually, if the media reports are anything to go by, many of the mobbers aren’t even shopping for others. I’m sure quite a bit of it is, but they’re shopping for themselves and/or for their ebay stores. In the latter case, they hope to resell the goods at a higher price. None of this is to say that this isn’t indicative of what you said it was, though. If anything, it paints a more stark picture.

      But I agree with the rest of your post. And while the sales seem to be the highest ever, that doesn’t mean squat. First, how much of that is credit? Second, how much of that is on goods so seriously discounted that retailers (and manufacturers, by extension) are losing? In other words, how profitable is it, really?

      A better question is how can all this be profitable enough to allow the stuff be paid for? If retail and manufacturers are raking in less per dollar spent on stock/production of said stuff… Well, it’s not rocket science. It’s more like racket science. And therefore, default on credit purchases is baked in. It just can’t last much longer!

  • Robert November 28, 2011, 8:11 pm

    Rick-

    Interesting that you would mention a comparison to the 1880’s. I see many mass-psychology markers in place today that are very similar to the dark period between 1850 and 1880 in the US:

    1) Government that is completely disconnected from the electorate and which prioritizes pandering to the moneyed elite over justice and equity.

    2) Patent public disatisfaction with government

    3) Expansion in the ranks and authority of the Union (Federal) military (DHS) in preparation for armed conflict within US borders (http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/congress-vote-next-week-explicitly-creating-police-state)

    A friend asked me after the 2008 election if Obama would be the Lincoln of the new millenium… an interesting question to ponder.

  • Benjamin November 28, 2011, 8:01 pm

    What I can’t stand is how the media reports these ‘black Friday’ incidents, denounces them, but then, in the next moment, cheers up and starts talking about what’s on sale at Such-and-Such. Accompanying this plastic concern for the sanity of society are the minute-by-minute meters that measure sales, to remind us how much this crap matters to our economic future.

    Tis all a necessary devil, you see. But the irony is… for all these ragin’ sales, money is being lost, not gained. Discounted prices being paid for by plastic cards containing money that doesn’t exist, nor will ever will exist outside of the context of debt… Well, you tell me how this can forecast economic health. As for the apes that go around shooting, trampling, and pepper spraying people…

    Call me old fashioned, but I much prefer the times when the day after Thanksgiving (or Thanksgiving, for that matter) was a quiet day. I’m old enough to remember that on TG, about the only businesses you’d find open were gas stations and convenience and/or liquor stores.
    Streets and store lots were empty. People seemed to find content in the simple act of staying home. The Friday after TG, people that did go out shopping were mostly just getting out of the house, perhaps looking around for what they may or may not buy later, for Christmas. One might even say it was a boring day, and not the ragin’ big deal to the economy that it has become in the past decade or so.

    Now, it is like rapid pitbulls, all of them just barely able to contain themselves at the ‘starting gate’. That is all there is to say about that. Compare that to the nice, long paragraph of things to be said about the better ol’ days. And yet, today is not just an abbreviation of what used to be. It’s a warped thing, one that, while most people and the media seem somewhat disturbed by the change, are willing to, in equally warped fashion, just shrug it off and treat the holiday season like it was always this way.

    And _that_ is what I find most troubling. This past Thanksgiving, my neice, seeing these stories on the news, asked of no one in particular why people act this way. I explained that they hadn’t always, that over the last decade and a half has seen this transformation take place. She didn’t know what I was talking about because, being only 16, she has no other view of the holiday season. People have, in her experience, always been raging shopoholics, especially this time of year. And while she is disgusted with that, it is none the less a shame that she hasn’t grown up knowing better of her fellow human beings.

  • david November 28, 2011, 6:18 pm

    What’s really sad, if true, is that the media has so much control over the minds (and hearts) of the people. To think that they can make Black Friday just by saying so. Goebbels was right.

  • roger erickson November 28, 2011, 6:07 pm

    public policy – just another way to defraud populations?

    “Until 2008, investors assumed that all euro- zone sovereign bonds, as well as bank debt, were risk-free and would never default. This made for a wonderfully profitable trade: European banks could buy government debt, finance it at less expensive rates through funding provided by the European Central Bank, and pocket the spread.”
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-28/the-euro-area-is-coming-to-an-end-peter-boone-and-simon-johnson.html

    Is that the only purpose driving our current policy?

    There has to be more meaning to life than this.

    What do frauds spend their “spread” on? Politicians? Buying public offices? Desperate distractions?

    Forget Black Friday & Cyber Monday. This has turned out to be more than one Black Decade & Fraud Culture. We’re losing our purpose.

    “How” always has potential utility, but only in relation to “why”.

    Banks started as a way to concentrate capital, which had value when information was even harder to concentrate.
    Now that we can link more information, success follows our quality of distributed decision-making more than it does our concentrations of capital. Our decision should be to optimally distribute capital, in order to optimize unpredictably emerging asset allocation, for the purpose of exploring more group options, better/faster/leaner.

    Concentrating capital has limited value. The rate of re-allocating capital for emerging purposes has far more value. All markets are ultimately “selection markets”, and adaptive rate trumps any static adaptive state.

  • BDTR November 28, 2011, 5:30 pm

    A 200T economy will likely ensue well before 2052, Mario, with a case of sugary Mumbai Pepsi easily topping $100, $200 10kg sack of bismanti, or a short stack of fresh, warm, $85 Naan.

    Like every other disparity inflicted outside stark granite walls of government and banking, insulating lesser senses on the street below from the background whine of super-computer cooling fans encoding conversations of policy and trade amid a fragrant, combined waft of cappuccino, delicate phyllo and fresh cut oriental lilies, the thud of truncheon applied to skull, the penetrating sting of rubber bullets, blinding tears of chemical crowd control, stunning impact grenades and mass, unmarked graves will be never be equally shared. Not in 2012, not in 2072.

    You’re too likely and absolutely correct. More’s the pity.

  • JP1110107 November 28, 2011, 4:28 pm

    Perhaps some of the 99%-ers realize their government allows wanton in-your-face lawlessness if the perpetrators are members of the 1%-er Class of Wall Street Gangster Banksters, so the masses conclude “hey, if those guys can get away with it …”

    Why didn’t Jon “Sticky Fingers” Corzine spend his Thanksgiving Holiday in jail?

    Remember Dominique Strauss-Kahn, former head of the IMF? He allegedly screws a hotel maid (a honey pot setup up, no doubt, to get him ousted) and he’s hauled off a plane and thrown in jail.

    Corzine screws literally tens of thousands of individual investors and steals $1.4 Billion (and climbing) of their funds from so-called “segregated accounts” to meet the MF Global’s margin calls and that thieving bastard enjoyed a wonderful turkey dinner with his family over the weekend.

    Why isn’t he in jail right now? It speaks to the corruption in Washington and on Wall Street to see this travesty of justice. After watching this example of crony capitalism, proving again that Wall Street Gangster Banksters control the Federal Government and its politicians, and Mainstream Media and its propaganda output, it should come as no surprise to find people in the streets and acting in increasingly lawless fashion themselves. They’ve been trained how to act by watching the Banksters and the Politicians.

    • Tom Paine November 28, 2011, 8:05 pm

      “Steal a hook, hang as crook; steal a kingdom and they make you a duke.”

      That’s a couple thousand year old saying from the Dao De Jing, in liberal translation, I think. But the point is that there is nothing new about any of this, most of all that the elites get away with murder.

  • Darren November 28, 2011, 3:55 pm

    One of my fellow libertarians suggested we should do a Black Market Friday to counter the corporate Black Friday. The idea is to buy something under the table or at least from an independent business. Too bad he only thought of this a week ago. We’ll be ready next year.

  • Fred November 28, 2011, 2:46 pm

    How is shopping related violence any more disturbing than religious related violence http://www.canada.com/news/Accused+asked+relative+help+killing+daughter+trial+told/5675909/story.html or government sanctioned violence http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/02/chinese-police-shoot-suspects-dead or sports related violence http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1876&dat=20020323&id=8kAfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=atAEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6669,3015088.

    Americans are not a special people. Your founding fathers were not enlightened heros. Violence is everywhere and it is not a sign of your society decaying, it is a sign of society. Stop over diagnosing .

    • Rick Ackerman November 28, 2011, 5:41 pm

      Fred, your post makes no sense to me, but here’s something that may help you get back on track — a seminal essay, written in 2002, on “Prole Models.” Its grim conclusions about the American underclass have been borne out by the drift of the elites toward the same behavioral abyss.

      http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1021859/posts

    • Benjamin November 28, 2011, 8:46 pm

      By golly, Fred, you’re right! And when so many people freaked out over the cannibalism and necrophagy of Jeffry Dahmer, well, they should’ve just realized that man had been doing those things for a lot longer than his special, modern sensibilities have unsuccessfuly been combating.

      @Rick

      A thoughtful analysis, but I hesitate to say that it’s dead-on the mark because, in my view, it is not a case where the elite are immitating the riff-raff. See my post, below. It really wasn’t all that long ago that people weren’t acting like they did on the Friday after TG. Even the ‘unwashed’ behaved better. It was only when the holiday season became “vital to the economy” that behavior among the riff-raff started to become more savage. And it wasn’t the underclasses that created and promoted that monster. The political, financial, and media elite were the ones that started that meme. And they were able to start and sustain it via the seen and unseen forces of the redistributionist ethos, which, in their warped minds, was and still is too good a thing to fail.

      So in one regard, the analysis is correct. The refusal to judge virtuous from non has lead to the decline of civilization. No doubts, there. But I don’t see it as a bottom-up process. The elites, rather than catching it from the unwashed masses, created and spread the disease. Once loosed on society, it became a vicious cycle.

  • S P November 28, 2011, 11:31 am

    I agree that compulsive and violent shopping is a sign of a nation in disarray. Still, the media almost never reports accurately on the demographics of crime in America, no matter when it occurs. Also, Bernanke is making it impossible to save money and keep up, so might as well spend it all in one last blaze of glory.

    • mario cavolo November 28, 2011, 11:42 am

      It is easy to understand that people would lose their sense of ethics to go out and burn up every last bit of credit they possibly could and then some, knowing full well that they won’t pay it back in the future? Bankster executives earning millions per year are getting their bad decisions bailed out to the tune of hundreds of billions, yet still earning their millions per year, so exactly why would any average American feel any remorse playing the same game at a far lower and insignificant level? It is in fact easy for anyone at any income level to demonstrate hardship and declare bankruptcy…said times of reconstruction and you bet the violence build up as Rick points out today will be part of it…Cheers, Mario

  • mario cavolo November 28, 2011, 5:58 am

    ….biting commentary JJ yet I’ll continue to take the other side of the coming collapse idea as extremely unlikely, when Rick writes comments suggesting he doesn’t think we’ll make it to the New Year before having such a collapse, I have to believe he’s enjoying sarcastic wit as by the way recently clearly evidenced by the upswing in retail sales this past weekend, well gee, somebody is out there spending money, eh? …the other problem I keep seeing with doomsday comments is that the whole “United States” is being plunged into a mess, etc. Generalization is the problem as I’ve said many times before; 50-100 million are heading down the tubes but the rest of the country is hopping along just fine thanks…Meanwhile a quick preview of the future comes from a recent speech in India by Pepsi’s CEO Ms. Nooyi stating that the global economy will over the next 40 years go from the current 63 T to 200 T, with China’s economy rising to 70 T…other tidbits I don’t have right in front of me but I’ll agree with her, I’ll defer to the doomsdayers on the collapse scenarios and I’ll assume she did a semblance of respectable research before making such statements on a platform. Of course none of us really knows, but to generalize, I’ll stick with believing the inflationary and therefore bullish pattern will continue across the globe for many more decades. You (plural) don’t really actually think that the USD is going to “collapse” and plunge the world into financial armageddon, do you? Gimme a break, there are dozens of other ways this financial scenario can play itself out with such an extreme outcome. And besides, doesn’t an expanding global economy actually need a few trillion extra currency assets injected into its financial system as it grows…?? The fact that more and more struggling Americans are starting to share home/rent costs finally hit the MSM with a recent article by Ruth Mantell over at Marketwatch, just like I said here the trend would be as is routine here in Asia, and indeed, that and related trend will continue… The biggest issue I see back in the states, re previous commentary is the problem of medical costs… but isn’t it the case that just about every state has a public hospital with cheap rates for people who are unemployed…? Like in Phoenix, I know a poorer person can go to Maricopa County Hospital… The U.S. will need them as the frustration driven violence continues to rise…Cheers, Mario

    • John Jay November 28, 2011, 4:14 pm

      Mario,
      The USA is number one in money spent on health care, and number 27 for healthy citizens. Thanks to the FDA/Big Pharma drugs with fatal side effects are pushed into the market until the bodies pile up and the class action lawsuits take over. Sure the poor get free health care. But hospitals and emergency rooms in California have been shutting down for years thanks to penniless illegal aliens with health issues.
      Doctors are just taking their names off the on call list, they can’t keep working for free and maybe get sued to boot if something goes wrong. As far as the coming financial collapse, the only question is when, not if. Europe and the US have been masking the lack of real jobs with debt fueled dole payments. The US Congress thinks if we cut $20 from the MIC the “Terrorists” will over run us. So the talk in DC is cutting “Entitlements”. The cousin of a friend of mine lives in rural PA on $650 a month SS, $72 in food stamps, and some amount of home heating help.
      That’s the target of the DC gang, not $400 million jet fighters that can’t fly in the rain. We are on the road to ruin.

    • mario cavolo November 28, 2011, 5:10 pm

      JJ, thanks for the reminders on the miserable state of healthcare in the states. Meanwhile, in a friendly way I want to reply by saying that I continue to disagree on this point of a “coming financial collapse”. Its just too general a statement and concept. I can easily agree that certain sectors of society are collapsing, for example as oft noted the U.S. lower and middle class ranging around 50 to 100 million folks. Yes, that sector of American society has shifted, transformed, collapsed if you will, but that doesn’t mean the “whole” system is going to collapse. Now I know that it will be immediately pointed out that there are trillions of bad debt in Europe and the U.S., and that is true, but there are also enormous amounts of riches too in the hands of corporations and individuals who are engaged in buying and selling across the globe on a daily basis…

      Finally, on the meaning and state of “collapse”, this perhaps will be, like hyperinflation, a specific event brought on by a specific set of govt decisions / edicts which are chosen and set forth by the govt in charge? Let’s remember that hyperinflation is NOT an economic trend, it is specifically a govt/central bank decision driven event…

      I continue putting forth this paradigm that there is certainly a sector of the world which has “collapsed” but that is not the whole system. The excess debt will play out by a combination of write downs, printing more money and creative accounting, which in the end for the rest of us simply means more and more ongoing inflation and decline of the purchasing power of the currency in our hand. Today I met with a friend who kept telling me the Euro is going to collapse, I kept asking, against WHAT?…and I’ve yet to get an answer, and no matter what, all of this nightmare will continue, getting back to Rick’s theme of the day, to lead to increased violence …Cheers, Mario

    • Jim N November 28, 2011, 8:10 pm

      Pretty ecletic comments Mario. Always enjoy your commentary. You do keep talking about a portion of the folks going down the tubes and the rest are fine. As a snapshot in time, that is very true, but i am afraid that the size acceleration of the 2 groups continues in opposite directions. Tomorrow there will be MORE families that will be having a harder and harder time. I think that this dynamic trend is one that i have never heard you talk about. You talk about the static tale of 2 classes ( one hurting, one continues on with no change) which is true. But the true story lies in how they are changing in size very rapidly. As i analyze it, that is why we are starting to see this violence start coming to the surface. To many people continue to chase after fewer and fewer goods, so we start pepper spraying each other… Your Pepsi friend, is dreaming of Pepsi domination so of course she will be bullish, but she is no different in her trying to hype the condition that all will get better. Have a Pepsi and a cookie.

      I disagree with your conclusion that all is ok, because only a part of the system (say 1/3 to 1/2) is broken and collapsing, but the rest will be OK. Makes no sense at all in my book. Ultimately there will be a collapse of the existing globabl system. Has to be. Looking at 100’s of trillions (600 or 700?) in derivatives and continuing of this policy to keep the appearances that all is ok. Each fix is shorter and shorter.

      Look at the dynamic trend. 6 months ago, Europe was solid. Yes, there was 2 groups of have’s and have nots, but the have’s are now smaller, and will continue to cannabalize each other as the global ponzi scheme shrinks further. What big bank is on the alter now? What country will collapse? Now how many are ready to go under? Will this cause the over all collapse of the global economy system. We don’t know. What about in the next 6 months? We are no longer projecting in year time frames, or even months, things are now changing daily in many places.

      For the longest time, i thought that a full collapse was imminent, and actually traded that way. Yet after being burned a couple of times watching the bailouts occur, one after another, i now agree that the doomsday collapse won’t be happening as long as the printing machine is working. ALso, the very size of the global market is like a giant flywheel. It moves on its own momentum, but make no mistake, it is slowing down, and ultimately will stop. It is coming close in Europe right now. The EUR, unless there is intervention, will collapse against the USD. How it continues after that is anyones guess. I don’t think we are close to overall collapse, as i now am of the opinion that the elites are now prepping themselves for a new system as they know the system is broken and ultimately will collapse. Central banks are buying lots of Gold now, where they were selling it even a year ago. They are keeping the system on life support using bail outs of every form possible until a new system is quietly put in place. Perhaps this strategy will involve another world war.

      The wild card in the elite plan, imo, is the unintended or uncontainable violence we are seeing now. Maybe some kind of global mob action. The little things, like RA talked about in the post, are real tangible clues of what the future may be holding for us. In the meantime, i think i will stay home and feed the chickens on Black Friday.

      Regards to all..

      Jim N

  • John Jay November 28, 2011, 5:12 am

    It all just goes to prove my point that the United States has already slid past the “Al Bundy” lifestyle, and is now at the “My name is Earl” life style. Next stop, the “Deliverance” life style. The “Deliverance” life style will commence as soon as the currency collapses and all the government dole programs cease. On the foreign policy front, nice to see NATO has outraged Pakistan by more fast and loose slaughter of Pakistani troops. Russia and China must be laughing hard at our oafish behavior. Trillions spent on our “anti terrorist” policy and we are more hated everyday by everyone on the planet. We have gone from a handful of hardcore jihadists to millions that now want to kill Americans.
    The “War on Terror” is now as much of a disaster as the “War on Drugs”. The US Government has lost its mind.

    • Erin November 28, 2011, 6:08 am

      Nice post! But Bernanke is just getting warmed up. As long as he can print and pretend that interest rates are not rising then the ponzi scheme can stay together. Remember, he got into the money printing business so he could help people!

      In the meantime, just sharpen your pitchforks and get ready for the big rally.

    • Craig November 28, 2011, 11:28 pm

      John…go to Worldaffairsbrief.com and see why what your observing is happening….you will be in denial for awhile and then after watching the circus clowns in Washington after reading about “the plans” you will understand Joel is absolutely correct in his analysis…the guy builds bunkers for Ex-CIA, NSA and Pentagon people…

  • martin schnell November 28, 2011, 2:02 am

    And of course the untold story about Black Friday is that it stimulates the Chinese economy far more than it does the US economy. Look at the stuff being carted out of the stores, from TVs to toys and see how much of it is imported. The US content of the sales price (labor/rent/ and profit) has to be minimal. If the US really wanted to get its act together it would have a ban on Black Friday sales, and it would limit store hours to regular hours. It would do wonders for the trade deficit but have minimal impact on jobs.

    • mario cavolo November 28, 2011, 6:18 am

      In that respect martin, strong headway is being made in the U.S., including Washington with respect to the “export to China” initiatives, and that will go a long way to helping. Struggling Americans whose lives have been “shifted” permanently, are in need to focus their energy to figure out how to position themselves to sell stuff to the people who have money; the stable rich Americans and wildly new rich Chinese and all they are into. Not easy, but when you’re unemployed…Cheers, Mario